US President Joe Biden's recent approval of an $80 million grant to Taiwan for the acquisition of American military equipment has drawn strong disapproval from China, which stated that it "deplores and opposes" the move.
At first glance, this sum might
seem relatively modest, amounting to less than the cost of a single modern
fighter jet. Taiwan has already committed to purchasing over $14 billion worth
of US military equipment. Does an additional $80 million really make a
significant difference?
However, there's a notable
distinction here. The $80 million is not a loan but comes directly from
American taxpayers. This marks a significant shift, as it's the first time in
over 40 years that the United States is using its own funds to supply weapons
to a region it officially doesn't recognize. This is being carried out through
a program known as foreign military finance (FMF). Since Russia's invasion of
Ukraine last year, FMF has been instrumental in delivering around $4 billion in
military aid to Kyiv.
This program has also channeled
billions of dollars to other nations, including Afghanistan, Iraq, Israel, and
Egypt, but it has historically been restricted to countries or organizations recognized
by the United Nations. Taiwan doesn't fall into that category.
For several decades, the US
maintained its strategic ambiguity in its relationship with Taiwan, selling a
carefully measured amount of weaponry to enable Taiwan to defend itself against
potential Chinese aggression without destabilizing US-China relations. The
shift in the military balance across the Taiwan Strait over the last decade has
made this strategy less viable. While Washington maintains that its policy
hasn't fundamentally changed, there are clear indications of a redefined
relationship between the US and Taiwan, particularly with the urgency of
rearming Taiwan, which faces a significant military imbalance against China.
According to Wang Ting-yu, a
legislator from the ruling party in Taiwan with close ties to President Tsai
Ing-wen and US Congressional leaders, the $80 million could be just the
beginning, with potential commitments reaching up to $10 billion over the next
five years. Unlike traditional arms deals that can take up to a decade, FMF
allows the US to provide weapons directly from its existing stockpiles, and
since it uses US funds, it doesn't require the same approval process.
Taiwan is in dire need of
military enhancement as it faces numerous challenges, including an outdated
army structure, insufficient modern missile systems, and undermanned frontline
units. To address these issues, the US is also taking on the task of retraining
Taiwan's military.
Given these developments, there
is a growing consensus in Washington that Taiwan is running out of time to
strengthen and modernize its military capabilities. The island is transitioning
to a "fortress Taiwan" strategy that focuses on ground troops,
infantry, and artillery to repel potential invasions and engage in urban
warfare if necessary. However, this shift also highlights the need for Taiwan
to overhaul its outdated army and doctrine.
Recent geopolitical changes,
including China's assertiveness and Russia's actions in Ukraine, have disrupted
earlier assumptions about Taiwan's security. Lessons from Ukraine's conflict
have underscored the significance of artillery in modern warfare and
highlighted Taiwan's vulnerabilities. This has prompted Washington to intervene
and assist in the training and preparation of Taiwan's military.
Taiwan's ability to deter China
is now seen as a matter of international concern, and the global community's
stance on Taiwan is becoming more critical. China's expansionist actions in the
South China Sea and East China Sea have led to increased military budgets and
regional alliances, which are reshaping the geopolitical landscape.
In Washington, there is an
ongoing debate on the extent of US support for Taiwan. Some argue that public
commitments from the US could provoke China, while others stress the necessity
of bolstering Taiwan's defense capabilities. As a result, the term
"strategic ambiguity" is used to describe the delicate balance of
simultaneously arming Taiwan while not making overt public declarations of
support.
Post a Comment