The number of people suffering from diabetes worldwide will more than double to 1.3 billion by 2050, report from a research carried out at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has revealed.
According
to the report published in the Lancet journal, the spike will be driven by
structural racism and gaping inequality between countries.
It
further predicted that every country on the globe will see an increase in the
number of patients with chronic disease, according to the most comprehensive
analysis of global data projecting out to 2050.
Some 529
million people were estimated to be living with diabetes, one of the top 10
causes of death and disability.
That
number, out of which 95 per cent are cases of type 2 diabetes, will top 1.3
billion in less than three decades.
High body
mass index, an indication that people could be overweight, was linked to more
than half of deaths and disability from diabetes.
Other
factors included people’s diets, exercise, smoking and alcohol.
Liane
Ong, lead research scientist at the Institute for Health Metrics and
Evaluation, and first author of one of the studies, said one factor was how
diets had changed.
“Over the
course of 30 years, different countries have really migrated from traditional
food habits — maybe eating more fruits and vegetables, eating healthier greens
— to more highly processed foods,” she told AFP.
The
research also estimated that by 2045, three-quarters of adults with diabetes
will live in low- and middle-income countries.
But even
in wealthy countries such as the United States, diabetes rates were almost 1.5
times higher among minorities such as black, Hispanic, Asian or Native
Americans, a separate Lancet study said.
Study
co-author Leonard Egede, of the Medical College of Wisconsin, blamed a “cascade
of widening diabetes inequity”.
“Racist
policies such as residential segregation affect where people live, their access
to sufficient and healthy food and health care services,” he said in a
statement.
Ong said,
“The challenge is that we don’t really see one type of intervention that’s
going to fix everything. Instead, fighting diabetes will require long-term
planning, investment and attention from countries around the globe.”
In an editorial,
the Lancet said that “The world has failed to understand the social nature of
diabetes and underestimated the true scale and threat the disease poses.
Diabetes will be a defining disease of this century,” it added.
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